Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.52
All matches
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SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg — TSV Havelse, 3. Liga
Germany, 3. Liga
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg
1.1DLDLL
TSV Havelse
LLDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
57%22%21%
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg57%Draw22%TSV Havelse21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg1.75—
XDraw4.55—
2TSV Havelse4.79—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSSV Jahn 2000 RegensburgTSV HavelseCombined
Goals scored1.331.332.66
Conceded2.502.004.50
Corners8.88.58.7
Cards3.02.55.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SSV Jahn 2000 RegensburgTSV Havelse
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg 57%, TSV Havelse 21%. The safest is “SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg or draw” at 80%.
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg 57%Draw 22%TSV Havelse 21%
1st half
49 · 35 · 15
2nd half
45 · 31 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg
- awayVfB Stuttgart 1893 II3:3
- homeDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 18951:2
- awayTSV Alemannia Aachen2:2
- homeMSV Duisburg1:2
- awayTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1:5
TSV Havelse
- homeSC Fortuna Köln1:3
- awayMSV Duisburg1:2
- homeSG Sonnenhof Großaspach2:2
- awaySC Preußen 06 Münster1:2
- homeSV Waldhof Mannheim 073:2
Head to head
- 03/21/263. Liga5:2
- 10/19/253. Liga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16
FC Würzburger Kickers721411:157
FC Würzburger Kickers721411:15717
SV Meppen 191272058:156
SV Meppen 191272058:15618SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg712413:175
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg712413:17519
SV Wehen Wiesbaden71245:135
SV Wehen Wiesbaden71245:13520TSV Havelse711510:154
TSV Havelse711510:154Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.