All matches

SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg — SV Wehen Wiesbaden, 3. Liga

Germany, 3. Liga

SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg
1.1DLDLL
—
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
LWLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%25%30%
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg45%Draw25%SV Wehen Wiesbaden30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg45%2.20—
XDraw25%4.07—
2SV Wehen Wiesbaden30%3.34—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.67

No40%

ours 2.50

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSSV Jahn 2000 RegensburgSV Wehen WiesbadenCombined
Goals scored1.170.671.84
Conceded1.501.002.50
Corners8.811.510.1
Cards3.32.35.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SSV Jahn 2000 RegensburgSV Wehen Wiesbaden

SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg 45%, SV Wehen Wiesbaden 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg 45%Draw 25%SV Wehen Wiesbaden 30%
1st half
39 · 36 · 25
2nd half
32 · 35 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg

  • awayVfB Stuttgart 1893 II3:3
  • homeDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 18951:2
  • awayTSV Alemannia Aachen2:2
  • homeMSV Duisburg1:2
  • awayTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1:5

SV Wehen Wiesbaden

  • homeMSV Duisburg1:4
  • awaySC Fortuna Köln2:0
  • homeSV Waldhof Mannheim 070:1
  • awayFC Hansa Rostock1:1
  • homeRot-Weiss Essen0:0

Head to head

  • 02/21/263. Liga2:1
  • 09/16/253. Liga0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16FC Würzburger Kickers721411:157
17SV Meppen 191272058:156
18SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg712413:175
19SV Wehen Wiesbaden71245:135
20TSV Havelse711510:154

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.