Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89
No47%
ours 2.13
All matches
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Jagiellonia — Avan Academy, UEFA Europa League
Europe, UEFA Europa League
Jagiellonia
2.8LLLWL
Avan Academy
3.3WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
78%14%
Jagiellonia78%Draw14%Avan Academy8%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Jagiellonia1.28—
XDraw7.13—
2Avan Academy12.55—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricJagielloniaAvan AcademyCombined
Goals scored0.831.502.33
Conceded1.671.172.84
Corners10.08.89.4
Cards1.42.43.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
JagielloniaAvan Academy
SSA Jagiellonia Białystok 78%, FC Avan Academy 8%. The safest is “SSA Jagiellonia Białystok or draw” at 92%.
SSA Jagiellonia Białystok 78%Draw 14%FC Avan Academy 8%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Jagiellonia
- homeLegia Warsaw1:3
- awayOlympiakos1:2
- awayWisla Krakow0:2
- homeSlask Wroclaw2:1
- awayLech Poznan1:2
Avan Academy
- awayShirak3:1
- homeSparta Prague1:4
- homeGandzasar3:0
- awayArarat Yerevan1:0
- awayPyunik1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
CSKA Sofia83239:1111
CSKA Sofia83239:11117
Lech Poznan531115:610
Lech Poznan531115:6108Jagiellonia531110:510
Jagiellonia531110:5109
Omonia53117:410
Omonia53117:41010
OFI33007:09
OFI33007:0911
Maccabi Tel Aviv43019:49
Maccabi Tel Aviv43019:4912
Qarabag42206:08
Qarabag42206:0813
PAOK42027:66
PAOK42027:6614
Hradec Kralove42024:36
Hradec Kralove42024:3615
Hajduk Split42025:66
Hajduk Split42025:6616
Universitatea Craiova41214:45
Universitatea Craiova41214:4517
Egnatia41127:64
Egnatia41127:6418
Paphos41127:64
Paphos41127:6419
Lillestrom31113:34
Lillestrom31113:3420Avan Academy31113:54
Avan Academy31113:5421
Iberia 199941123:74
Iberia 199941123:7422
Thun41127:124
Thun41127:124Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.