Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89book 1.75
No47%
ours 2.12book 1.97
All matches
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Sport Boys — Alianza Atletico Sullana, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
Sport Boys
1.6DWLWW
Alianza Atletico Sullana
2.3WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%27%31%
Sport BoysMarket 1.9042%DrawMarket 3.4427%Alianza Atletico SullanaMarket 3.8131%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sport Boys2.371.90-10.4
XDraw3.753.44-2.4
2Alianza Atletico Sullana3.223.81+4.8
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSport BoysAlianza Atletico SullanaCombined
Goals scored1.672.334.00
Conceded0.831.502.33
Corners12.211.211.7
Cards3.02.85.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sport BoysAlianza Atletico Sullana
Sport Boys Association 42%, Club Alianza Atlético Sullana 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Sport Boys Association 42%Draw 27%Club Alianza Atlético Sullana 31%
1st half
33 · 40 · 26
2nd half
30 · 42 · 28
Bookmakers: 1.90 · 3.44 · 3.81
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
68%1.25
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sport Boys
- awayMelgar1:1
- homeGarcilaso1:0
- awaySport Huancayo1:2
- homeSporting Cristal1:0
- homeCienciano5:1
Alianza Atletico Sullana
- homeComerciantes Unidos2:1
- awayAtletico Grau1:3
- homeUT Cajamarca3:2
- awayUCV Moquegua4:1
- homeSporting Cristal3:1
Head to head
- 04/19/26Primera División1:0
- 11/16/25Primera División0:1
- 07/12/25Primera División0:1
- 08/24/24Primera División0:2
- 03/31/24Primera División0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Los Chankas27126936:4542
Los Chankas27126936:45427
Cienciano271251046:4041
Cienciano271251046:40418Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:35409
Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
Sporting Cristal271151148:403810Sport Boys27108929:2638
Sport Boys27108929:263811
Sport Huancayo271051237:4435
Sport Huancayo271051237:443512
Juan Pablo II27971142:5234
Juan Pablo II27971142:5234Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.