All matches

Amstetten — FC Blau-Weiß Linz, 2. Liga

Austria, 2. Liga

Amstetten
WWLDD
—
FC Blau-Weiß Linz
1.1WWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
31%25%45%
AmstettenMarket 3.6331%DrawMarket 3.8025%FC Blau-Weiß LinzMarket 1.8545%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Amstetten31%28%3.243.63+3.3
XDraw25%26%4.083.80-1.8
2FC Blau-Weiß Linz45%54%2.241.85-9.4

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72book 1.53

No42%

ours 2.39book 2.35

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAmstettenFC Blau-Weiß LinzCombined
Goals scored2.172.835.00
Conceded1.670.672.34
Corners11.29.810.5
Cards1.71.53.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AmstettenFC Blau-Weiß Linz

SKU Amstetten 31%, FC Blau-Weiß Linz 45%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

SKU Amstetten 31%Draw 25%FC Blau-Weiß Linz 45%
1st half
31 · 41 · 28
2nd half
23 · 34 · 43

Bookmakers: 3.63 · 3.80 · 1.85

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

67%1.48
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Amstetten

  • awayKapfenberg4:3
  • homeAustria Wien II4:2
  • awayFirst Vienna0:1
  • homeWels1:1
  • awayFloridsdorfer AC2:2

FC Blau-Weiß Linz

  • homeAdmira Wacker3:0
  • homeWels4:1
  • awayKapfenberg1:2
  • homeVoitsberg5:1
  • awaySt. Polten1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Blau-Weiß Linz760120:418
2First Vienna751114:716
3Floridsdorfer AC741213:1013
4Amstetten733114:1112
5Austria Wien II740313:1112
6Wacker Innsbruck732210:811

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.