All matches

Slavia Prague — Mlada Boleslav, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Slavia Prague
3.8WWLWW
—
Mlada Boleslav
1.8WLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
75%17%
Slavia Prague75%Draw17%Mlada Boleslav8%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Slavia Prague75%1.33—
XDraw17%5.83—
2Mlada Boleslav8%13.04—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75

No43%

ours 2.34

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSlavia PragueMlada BoleslavCombined
Goals scored0.671.001.67
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners9.510.710.1
Cards1.51.73.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Slavia PragueMlada Boleslav

SK Slavia Praha 75%, FK Mladá Boleslav 8%. The safest is “SK Slavia Praha or draw” at 91%.

SK Slavia Praha 75%Draw 17%FK Mladá Boleslav 8%
1st half
55 · 31 · 14
2nd half
49 · 32 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 9.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Slavia Prague

  • homeViktoria Plzen2:1
  • awayTeplice2:0
  • homeLens2:3
  • homeZbrojovka Brno4:0
  • awaySparta Prague3:0

Mlada Boleslav

  • homeZbrojovka Brno2:0
  • awaySlovan Liberec0:3
  • homeBanik Ostrava4:0
  • homeSlovacko2:1
  • awayPardubice1:1

Head to head

  • 02/07/26First League4:0
  • 08/30/25First League3:1
  • 02/02/25First League1:0
  • 09/17/24First League2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Slavia Prague972025:623
2Slovan Liberec962113:420
3Mlada Boleslav852117:917
4Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
5Teplice951317:1516

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.