All matches

Slavia Prague — Hradec Kralove, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Slavia Prague
3.8WWLWW
—
Hradec Kralove
2.3LWDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
70%19%10%
Slavia Prague70%Draw19%Hradec Kralove10%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Slavia Prague70%1.42—
XDraw19%5.14—
2Hradec Kralove10%9.87—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.24

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSlavia PragueHradec KraloveCombined
Goals scored1.670.672.34
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners10.012.411.2
Cards1.31.83.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Slavia PragueHradec Kralove

SK Slavia Praha 70%, FC Hradec Králové 10%. The safest is “SK Slavia Praha or draw” at 87%.

SK Slavia Praha 70%Draw 19%FC Hradec Králové 10%
1st half
46 · 35 · 19
2nd half
47 · 35 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Match result: Home

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Slavia Prague

  • homeViktoria Plzen2:1
  • awayTeplice2:0
  • homeLens2:3
  • homeZbrojovka Brno4:0
  • awaySparta Prague3:0

Hradec Kralove

  • homeTeplice0:2
  • awayFASTAV Zlin2:1
  • homeViktoria Plzen0:0
  • homeSparta Prague2:1
  • awayZbrojovka Brno0:1

Head to head

  • 05/17/26First League1:3
  • 04/19/26First League1:2
  • 07/20/25First League2:2
  • 04/05/25First League2:1
  • 11/03/24First League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Slavia Prague972025:623
2Slovan Liberec962113:420
3Mlada Boleslav852117:917
4Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
5Teplice951317:1516
6Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
7Sparta Prague950418:1215
8Jablonec942311:914
9Hradec Kralove94238:914
10Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
11Banik Ostrava93157:1710

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.