All matches

Sigma Olomouc — Zbrojovka Brno, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Sigma Olomouc
2.0LWWLW
—
Zbrojovka Brno
2.0LWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%26%30%
Sigma Olomouc44%Draw26%Zbrojovka Brno30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sigma Olomouc44%2.25—
XDraw26%3.86—
2Zbrojovka Brno30%3.37—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.80

No44%

ours 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSigma OlomoucZbrojovka BrnoCombined
Goals scored1.000.331.33
Conceded0.831.172.00
Corners10.09.09.5
Cards1.71.73.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Sigma OlomoucZbrojovka Brno

SK Sigma Olomouc 44%, FC Zbrojovka Brno 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

SK Sigma Olomouc 44%Draw 26%FC Zbrojovka Brno 30%
1st half
35 · 42 · 24
2nd half
33 · 37 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Sigma Olomouc

  • homeSparta Prague0:3
  • awayViktoria Plzen3:2
  • homeBohemians 19053:0
  • awayBanik Ostrava0:1
  • homePardubice3:1

Zbrojovka Brno

  • awayMlada Boleslav0:2
  • homeLisen2:1
  • awaySlavia Prague0:4
  • homeHradec Kralove1:0
  • homeFASTAV Zlin3:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Slovan Liberec962113:420
3Mlada Boleslav852117:917
4Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
5Teplice951317:1516
6Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
7Sparta Prague950418:1215
8Jablonec942311:914

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.