Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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Lisen — Bohemians 1905, First League
Czech Republic, First League
Lisen
1.6DLLWL
Bohemians 1905
1.6LWLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%26%36%
Lisen38%Draw26%Bohemians 190536%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Lisen2.66—
XDraw3.83—
2Bohemians 19052.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLisenBohemians 1905Combined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners7.67.37.4
Cards1.01.82.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LisenBohemians 1905
SK Líšeň 38%, Bohemians 1905 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
SK Líšeň 38%Draw 26%Bohemians 1905 36%
1st half
27 · 39 · 34
2nd half
33 · 39 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Lisen
- homeSlovan Liberec0:0
- awayZbrojovka Brno1:2
- homeViktoria Plzen0:3
- awayPardubice2:1
- homeSparta Prague0:4
Bohemians 1905
- awayPardubice1:2
- homeSlovacko2:0
- awaySigma Olomouc0:3
- homeJablonec1:1
- awaySlavia Prague2:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
Viktoria Plzen924317:171011
Banik Ostrava93157:1710
Banik Ostrava93157:171012Bohemians 190582339:119
Bohemians 190582339:11913
Pardubice92259:148
Pardubice92259:14814Lisen91267:185
Lisen91267:18515
Slovacko90457:164
Slovacko90457:16416
FASTAV Zlin90188:191
FASTAV Zlin90188:191Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.