All matches

Shirak — CSKA Yerevan, Armenian Premier League

Armenia, Armenian Premier League

Shirak
0.9LLWWL
—
CSKA Yerevan
1.2DLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%25%32%
Shirak43%Draw25%CSKA Yerevan32%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Shirak43%2.34—
XDraw25%4.02—
2CSKA Yerevan32%3.08—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.31

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricShirakCSKA YerevanCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded0.830.671.50
Corners15.39.712.5
Cards1.31.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ShirakCSKA Yerevan

Shirak FC 43%, Banaki Kentronakan Marzakan Akumb 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Shirak FC 43%Draw 25%Banaki Kentronakan Marzakan Akumb 32%
1st half
38 · 40 · 22
2nd half
34 · 36 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Shirak

  • homeAvan Academy1:3
  • awayPyunik0:2
  • homeSardarapat2:0
  • awayVan4:0
  • homeUrartu0:1

CSKA Yerevan

  • homeSardarapat1:1
  • awayVan1:2
  • homeUrartu2:1
  • awayGandzasar Kapan3:0
  • homeArtsakh0:1

Head to head

  • 08/01/26Armenian Premier League0:0
  • 04/16/26Armenian Premier League1:1
  • 04/12/26Armenian Premier League0:0
  • 08/16/25Armenian Premier League1:2
  • 04/18/25Armenian Premier League2:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Sardarapat833214:1212
6Urartu832312:1011
7Shirak831411:1010
8Ararat Yerevan83056:139
9CSKA Yerevan82248:108
10Van81164:214
11Gandzasar Kapan81078:203

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.