All matches

Shenyang Urban FC — Wuhan Three Towns FC, Chinese Super League

China, Chinese Super League

Shenyang Urban FC
LLLDL
—
Wuhan Three Towns FC
LDDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%25%27%
Shenyang Urban FC48%Draw25%Wuhan Three Towns FC27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Shenyang Urban FC48%2.07—
XDraw25%3.96—
2Wuhan Three Towns FC27%3.77—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.65

No39%

ours 2.54

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricShenyang Urban FCWuhan Three Towns FCCombined
Goals scored1.001.832.83
Conceded2.501.834.33
Corners10.710.810.8
Cards1.31.32.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Shenyang Urban FCWuhan Three Towns FC

Shenyang Urban FC 48%, Wuhan Three Towns FC 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Shenyang Urban FC 48%Draw 25%Wuhan Three Towns FC 27%
1st half
34 · 36 · 31
2nd half
43 · 32 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Shenyang Urban FC

  • awayTianjin Teda FC0:1
  • awayYunnan Yukun FC0:5
  • awayChengdu Better City FC1:2
  • homeHenan Jianye FC4:4
  • homeSichuan Jiuniu FC1:2

Wuhan Three Towns FC

  • awayZhejiang Professional FC1:4
  • homeHenan Jianye FC1:1
  • homeQingdao Youth Island FC2:2
  • awayQingdao Jonoon FC5:1
  • homeTianjin Teda FC0:0

Head to head

  • 05/16/26Chinese Super League2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Chongqing Tongliang Long FC26710927:3231
13Sichuan Jiuniu FC26841434:4528
14Wuhan Three Towns FC265111039:4626
15Shenyang Urban FC26741534:4725
16Qingdao Jonoon FC26631734:5321

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.