Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.71
No42%
ours 2.40
All matches
—
Sheffield United — Wrexham, Championship
England, Championship
Sheffield United
2.0LLWLW
Wrexham
2.1WLDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%26%30%
Sheffield United44%Draw26%Wrexham30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sheffield United2.30—
XDraw3.83—
2Wrexham3.30—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSheffield UnitedWrexhamCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded0.501.171.67
Corners9.07.08.0
Cards3.00.53.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sheffield UnitedWrexham
Sheffield United FC 44%, Wrexham FC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Sheffield United FC 44%Draw 26%Wrexham FC 30%
1st half
39 · 37 · 24
2nd half
32 · 39 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sheffield United
- awayStoke City1:2
- homeWolverhampton0:1
- awayBlackburn Rovers2:1
- homeNorwich City1:3
- homeBolton Wanderers3:2
Wrexham
- homeSouthampton2:1
- awayWest Ham0:6
- homeBurnley1:1
- awaySwansea City0:0
- awayMillwall3:0
Head to head
- 03/21/26Championship1:2
- 12/26/25Championship3:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Millwall832315:1511
Millwall832315:151113
Lincoln City83237:811
Lincoln City83237:81114Wrexham82429:1210
Wrexham82429:121015
Bolton Wanderers831411:1510
Bolton Wanderers831411:151016
Blackburn Rovers823312:129
Blackburn Rovers823312:12917
Norwich City830516:179
Norwich City830516:17918Sheffield United82339:119
Sheffield United82339:11919
Portsmouth72239:108
Portsmouth72239:10820
Watford82247:108
Watford82247:108Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.