Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.45
All matches
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Shanghai SIPG FC — Chengdu Better City FC, Chinese Super League
China, Chinese Super League
Shanghai SIPG FC
DWWDW
Chengdu Better City FC
DWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%26%28%
Shanghai SIPG FC46%Draw26%Chengdu Better City FC28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Shanghai SIPG FC2.19—
XDraw3.87—
2Chengdu Better City FC3.51—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricShanghai SIPG FCChengdu Better City FCCombined
Goals scored1.171.502.67
Conceded0.671.502.17
Corners8.211.69.9
Cards1.42.84.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Shanghai SIPG FCChengdu Better City FC
Shanghai SIPG FC 46%, Chengdu Better City FC 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Shanghai SIPG FC 46%Draw 26%Chengdu Better City FC 28%
1st half
39 · 36 · 26
2nd half
38 · 35 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Shanghai SIPG FC
- homeBeijing Guoan FC0:0
- awaySichuan Jiuniu FC1:0
- homeQingdao Jonoon FC2:1
- homeDalian Zhixing FC1:1
- awayWuhan Three Towns FC3:2
Chengdu Better City FC
- awayHenan Jianye FC0:0
- homeShenyang Urban FC2:1
- homeShanghai Shenhua FC4:5
- awayZhejiang Professional FC3:2
- awayYunnan Yukun FC0:1
Head to head
- 05/19/26Chinese Super League1:0
- 08/30/25Chinese Super League1:4
- 04/20/25Chinese Super League1:3
- 10/18/24Chinese Super League1:3
- 05/22/24Chinese Super League2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Chengdu Better City FC26157451:3052
Chengdu Better City FC26157451:30522
Beijing Guoan FC261110549:3343
Beijing Guoan FC261110549:33433
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC26134946:4343
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC26134946:43434
Shanghai Shenhua FC26125952:4641
Shanghai Shenhua FC26125952:46415
Dalian Zhixing FC261241038:4240
Dalian Zhixing FC261241038:42406Shanghai SIPG FC26108840:3338
Shanghai SIPG FC26108840:33387
Yunnan Yukun FC261151054:5138
Yunnan Yukun FC261151054:51388
Qingdao Youth Island FC26814431:3238
Qingdao Youth Island FC26814431:3238Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.