All matches

Shamrock Rovers 2:1 Bohemians, Premier Division

Republic of Ireland, Premier DivisionMatch finished

Shamrock Rovers
2.8WWWLD
2:1HT 1:0
Bohemians
2.5LWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
41%31%28%
Shamrock RoversMarket 2.3041%DrawMarket 3.2831%BohemiansMarket 3.0328%
Line-upsShamrock Rovers3-4-2-1—Bohemians4-2-3-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Shamrock Rovers3-4-2-1Bohemians4-2-3-1

Shamrock Rovers3-4-2-1

Coach: Republic of IrelandS. Bradley

Starting XI

  • 1GKRepublic of IrelandE. McGinty
  • 6DFRepublic of IrelandD. Cleary9′
  • 4DFCape VerdePico
  • 5DFRepublic of IrelandL. Grace
  • 22MFRepublic of IrelandT. Sobowale
  • 8MFRepublic of IrelandM. Healy66′
  • 29MFRepublic of IrelandJ. Byrne65′
  • 24MFRepublic of IrelandW. Fitzgerald80′
  • 7MFRepublic of IrelandD. Watts76′85′
  • 10MFRepublic of IrelandG. Burke80′
  • 88FWNorthern IrelandJ. McGovern34′80′

Substitutes

  • 25GKRepublic of IrelandL. Steacy
  • 27DFRepublic of IrelandC. O'Sullivan80′
  • 11MFRepublic of IrelandJ. Mulraney
  • 26MFRepublic of IrelandJohn O'Sullivan65′79′
  • 28FWRepublic of IrelandN. Razi85′
  • 19MFRepublic of IrelandA. Brennan
  • 18FWRepublic of IrelandJ. Afolabi80′
  • 9FWRepublic of IrelandA. Greene80′
  • 31FWRepublic of IrelandM. Noonan

Bohemians4-2-3-1

Coach: Republic of IrelandA. Reynolds

Starting XI

  • 25GKUSAP. Walters
  • 16DFRepublic of IrelandD. Power
  • 12DFUSAP. Hickey
  • 22DFRepublic of IrelandS. Todd
  • 6DFEnglandJ. Flores
  • 10MFRepublic of IrelandD. Devoy79′
  • 17MFRepublic of IrelandA. McDonnell15′
  • 11MFRepublic of IrelandD. Rooney60′
  • 26MFRepublic of IrelandR. Tierney71′
  • 7MFEnglandC. Parsons81′
  • 9FWRepublic of IrelandC. Whelan60′

Substitutes

  • 41FWRepublic of IrelandP. Madden
  • 18FWEnglandD. James-Taylor60′
  • 5MFEnglandS. Diallo81′
  • 8MFRepublic of IrelandH. Vaughan81′
  • 32MFLatviaM. Strods60′68′
  • 3DFRepublic of IrelandR. Burke15′81′
  • 4MFRepublic of IrelandN. Morahan
  • 1GKPolandK. Chorążka
  • 21MFScotlandJosh Adam

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.98xG2.01
37Possession, %63
8Shots16
3Shots on target8
3Corners6
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
18Fouls13
4Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 189 of 258void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Shamrock Rovers41%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.551%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 50%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes56%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Shamrock Rovers41%43%2.422.30-2.2
XDraw31%30%3.283.28+0.0
2Bohemians28%33%3.553.03-4.8

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Form and context

Shamrock Rovers

  • homeBohemians2:1
  • homeDrogheda United3:1
  • homeWaterford3:2
  • awaySt Patrick's0:2
  • homeShelbourne0:0

Bohemians

  • awayShamrock Rovers1:2
  • awayDundalk2:1
  • homeDrogheda United2:1
  • awayGalway United3:2
  • homeSligo Rovers3:0

Head to head

  • 10/12/26Premier Division2:1
  • 05/25/26Premier Division2:1
  • 04/17/26Premier Division2:1
  • 02/27/26Premier Division2:3
  • 09/26/25Premier Division2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers33198654:3365
2St Patrick's32178752:2559
3Bohemians33178858:4059
4Shelbourne3310131047:4643
5Derry City32914945:4241

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.