Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.56
All matches
—
Servette — Vaduz, Super League
Switzerland, Super League
Servette
2.0LWWLL
Vaduz
1.5LLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%24%27%
Servette48%Draw24%Vaduz27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Servette2.07—
XDraw4.10—
2Vaduz3.66—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricServetteVaduzCombined
Goals scored1.171.833.00
Conceded1.331.502.83
Corners12.410.011.2
Cards2.41.84.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ServetteVaduz
Servette FC 48%, FC Vaduz 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Servette FC 48%Draw 24%FC Vaduz 27%
1st half
39 · 35 · 26
2nd half
32 · 37 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Servette
- awayYoung Boys2:3
- awayThun4:2
- awayLausanne1:0
- homeSt. Gallen0:2
- awayLugano0:1
Vaduz
- homeThun1:2
- awayZurich1:2
- homeLausanne3:1
- awayLuzern1:2
- homeGrasshopper5:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Luzern933317:1812
Luzern933317:18127
Zurich932414:2011
Zurich932414:20118Servette931511:1310
Servette931511:13109
Thun931515:2310
Thun931515:231010
Grasshopper922513:248
Grasshopper922513:24811Vaduz920718:216
Vaduz920718:21612
Lausanne91357:156
Lausanne91357:156Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.