Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.63
No39%
ours 2.60
All matches
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SC Kriens — FC Wil 1900, Challenge League
Switzerland, Challenge League
SC Kriens
WDLDW
FC Wil 1900
WLDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%24%23%
SC Kriens53%Draw24%FC Wil 190023%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SC Kriens1.88—
XDraw4.16—
2FC Wil 19004.40—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSC KriensFC Wil 1900Combined
Goals scored2.001.503.50
Conceded1.001.672.67
Corners10.010.010.0
Cards2.31.53.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SC KriensFC Wil 1900
SC Kriens 53%, FC Wil 1900 23%. The safest is “SC Kriens or draw” at 77%.
SC Kriens 53%Draw 24%FC Wil 1900 23%
1st half
41 · 37 · 21
2nd half
43 · 35 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
SC Kriens
- homeÉtoile Carouge FC4:1
- awayFC Aarau2:2
- homeFC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0:2
- awayFC Rapperswil-Jona1:1
- homeFC Stade Nyonnais3:0
FC Wil 1900
- homeFC Stade Nyonnais5:0
- awayFC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0:4
- awayÉtoile Carouge FC1:1
- homeFC Aarau2:2
- awayYverdon Sport FC1:1
Head to head
- 08/22/26Challenge League2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
FC Winterthur953119:818
FC Winterthur953119:8183
Yverdon Sport FC944114:916
Yverdon Sport FC944114:9164SC Kriens942316:1114
SC Kriens942316:11145
FC Aarau933314:1612
FC Aarau933314:16126
Neuchâtel Xamax FCS940512:1712
Neuchâtel Xamax FCS940512:17127
FC Rapperswil-Jona931515:1610
FC Rapperswil-Jona931515:16108
Étoile Carouge FC92348:129
Étoile Carouge FC92348:1299FC Wil 1900923415:219
FC Wil 1900923415:21910
FC Stade Nyonnais90276:232
FC Stade Nyonnais90276:232Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.