All matches

SC Kriens — FC Rapperswil-Jona, Challenge League

Switzerland, Challenge League

SC Kriens
WDLDW
—
FC Rapperswil-Jona
WWLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%24%24%
SC Kriens52%Draw24%FC Rapperswil-Jona24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SC Kriens52%1.91—
XDraw24%4.17—
2FC Rapperswil-Jona24%4.25—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.59

No37%

ours 2.69

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSC KriensFC Rapperswil-JonaCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded0.830.501.33
Corners9.011.010.0
Cards2.72.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SC KriensFC Rapperswil-Jona

SC Kriens 52%, FC Rapperswil-Jona 24%. The safest is “SC Kriens or draw” at 79%.

SC Kriens 52%Draw 24%FC Rapperswil-Jona 24%
1st half
40 · 36 · 24
2nd half
53 · 29 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 4.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

SC Kriens

  • homeÉtoile Carouge FC4:1
  • awayFC Aarau2:2
  • homeFC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0:2
  • awayFC Rapperswil-Jona1:1
  • homeFC Stade Nyonnais3:0

FC Rapperswil-Jona

  • awayNeuchâtel Xamax FCS3:0
  • homeYverdon Sport FC2:0
  • awayFC Aarau2:3
  • homeSC Kriens1:1
  • awayÉtoile Carouge FC1:2

Head to head

  • 09/01/26Challenge League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2FC Winterthur953119:818
3Yverdon Sport FC944114:916
4SC Kriens942316:1114
5FC Aarau933314:1612
6Neuchâtel Xamax FCS940512:1712
7FC Rapperswil-Jona931515:1610
8Étoile Carouge FC92348:129
9FC Wil 1900923415:219

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.