Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
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SC Fortuna Köln — FC Würzburger Kickers, 3. Liga
Germany, 3. Liga
SC Fortuna Köln
WLDDW
FC Würzburger Kickers
LWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%25%28%
SC Fortuna Köln47%Draw25%FC Würzburger Kickers28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SC Fortuna Köln2.15—
XDraw3.94—
2FC Würzburger Kickers3.56—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSC Fortuna KölnFC Würzburger KickersCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.500.330.83
Corners8.010.09.0
Cards3.52.56.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SC Fortuna KölnFC Würzburger Kickers
SC Fortuna Köln 47%, FC Würzburger Kickers 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
SC Fortuna Köln 47%Draw 25%FC Würzburger Kickers 28%
1st half
37 · 36 · 26
2nd half
35 · 43 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
SC Fortuna Köln
- awayTSV Havelse3:1
- homeSV Wehen Wiesbaden0:2
- awayTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II2:2
- homeDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 18950:0
- awaySC Verl 19242:1
FC Würzburger Kickers
- awaySC Verl 19241:2
- homeTSV Alemannia Aachen1:0
- awayRot-Weiss Essen2:6
- homeVfB Stuttgart 1893 II1:2
- awayMSV Duisburg0:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189573136:710
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189573136:71011
SC Verl 1924731310:1310
SC Verl 1924731310:131012SC Fortuna Köln72328:89
SC Fortuna Köln72328:8913
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach72236:98
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach72236:9814
FC Ingolstadt 0472237:118
FC Ingolstadt 0472237:11815
VfB Stuttgart 1893 II721412:157
VfB Stuttgart 1893 II721412:15716FC Würzburger Kickers721411:157
FC Würzburger Kickers721411:15717
SV Meppen 191272058:156
SV Meppen 191272058:15618
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg712413:175
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg712413:175Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.