Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63
No39%
ours 2.58
All matches
—
Cambuur — Go Ahead Eagles, Eredivisie
Netherlands, Eredivisie
Cambuur
2.7DWDLL
Go Ahead Eagles
1.8DDDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%26%33%
Cambuur41%Draw26%Go Ahead Eagles33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cambuur2.46—
XDraw3.84—
2Go Ahead Eagles3.00—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCambuurGo Ahead EaglesCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners8.311.09.7
Cards2.71.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CambuurGo Ahead Eagles
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden 41%, Go Ahead Eagles 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden 41%Draw 26%Go Ahead Eagles 33%
1st half
34 · 36 · 30
2nd half
35 · 37 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Cambuur
- awayADO Den Haag1:1
- homeNEC Nijmegen3:0
- awayTelstar2:2
- homeTwente1:4
- homeFeyenoord2:5
Go Ahead Eagles
- awayNEC Nijmegen1:1
- homeGroningen1:1
- awayUtrecht3:3
- awayAZ Alkmaar2:5
- homeADO Den Haag3:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Excelsior732215:911
Excelsior732215:9118
Groningen732215:1311
Groningen732215:13119Go Ahead Eagles724116:1410
Go Ahead Eagles724116:141010
Heerenveen723211:99
Heerenveen723211:9911
NEC Nijmegen722312:138
NEC Nijmegen722312:13812
Sparta Rotterdam712410:175
Sparta Rotterdam712410:17513
Telstar71245:125
Telstar71245:12514Cambuur712410:195
Cambuur712410:19515
Utrecht712411:245
Utrecht712411:24516
PEC Zwolle71156:204
PEC Zwolle71156:204Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.