Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.61
No38%
ours 2.63
All matches
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Sardarapat — Urartu, Armenian Premier League
Armenia, Armenian Premier League
Sardarapat
1.9DDLLW
Urartu
2.5WLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
32%23%45%
Sardarapat32%Draw23%Urartu45%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sardarapat3.16—
XDraw4.33—
2Urartu2.21—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSardarapatUrartuCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded1.331.002.33
Corners13.08.310.6
Cards1.52.03.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SardarapatUrartu
Sardarapat 32%, FC Banants 45%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Sardarapat 32%Draw 23%FC Banants 45%
1st half
34 · 38 · 28
2nd half
28 · 32 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sardarapat
- awayCSKA Yerevan1:1
- homeAlashkert1:1
- homePyunik2:4
- awayShirak0:2
- homeGandzasar3:1
Urartu
- awayGandzasar Kapan3:0
- homeArtsakh0:3
- awayCSKA Yerevan1:2
- homeAlashkert1:1
- awayShirak1:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Pyunik853018:818
Pyunik853018:8184
Alashkert843118:615
Alashkert843118:6155Sardarapat833214:1212
Sardarapat833214:12126Urartu832312:1011
Urartu832312:10117
Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:139Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.