Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.65
No39%
ours 2.54
All matches
—
San Diego — Seattle Sounders, MLS
USA, MLS
San Diego
2.1DDLLL
Seattle Sounders
2.3WWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%25%31%
San Diego45%Draw25%Seattle Sounders31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1San Diego2.23—
XDraw4.05—
2Seattle Sounders3.28—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSan DiegoSeattle SoundersCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded1.670.332.00
Corners8.314.011.2
Cards1.02.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
San DiegoSeattle Sounders
San Diego FC 45%, Seattle Sounders FC 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
San Diego FC 45%Draw 25%Seattle Sounders FC 31%
1st half
35 · 36 · 29
2nd half
35 · 37 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
San Diego
- awayAustin3:3
- awayInter Miami2:2
- homePhiladelphia Union0:5
- homeSan Jose Earthquakes2:3
- awayOrlando City0:1
Seattle Sounders
- homeSporting Kansas City2:1
- homeMinnesota United3:1
- homeReal Salt Lake2:0
- awayColorado Rapids3:3
- awayLA Galaxy1:1
Head to head
- 05/10/26MLS1:1
- 05/29/25MLS0:1
- 04/06/25MLS3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Los Angeles28118943:3041
Los Angeles28118943:304112
Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
Philadelphia Union271161054:443913Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814
Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615
LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:443616
Orlando City271041348:6434
Orlando City271041348:643417
New York City27891041:3633
New York City27891041:363318
Cincinnati2689955:6433
Cincinnati2689955:643319
New York Red Bulls27961234:5133
New York Red Bulls27961234:513320San Diego27881147:4732
San Diego27881147:473221
Portland Timbers27951348:5132
Portland Timbers27951348:513222
Real Salt Lake27951340:4432
Real Salt Lake27951340:4432Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.