Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
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Saint Johnstone — Motherwell, Premiership
Scotland, Premiership
Saint Johnstone
1.2DLWDL
Motherwell
2.1LLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
32%25%43%
Saint Johnstone32%Draw25%Motherwell43%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Saint Johnstone3.11—
XDraw4.02—
2Motherwell2.33—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSaint JohnstoneMotherwellCombined
Goals scored0.500.170.67
Conceded0.501.171.67
Corners11.012.311.7
Cards2.01.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Saint JohnstoneMotherwell
Saint Johnstone FC 32%, Motherwell FC 43%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Saint Johnstone FC 32%Draw 25%Motherwell FC 43%
1st half
28 · 37 · 35
2nd half
32 · 38 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Saint Johnstone
- homeFalkirk1:1
- homeCeltic0:1
- homeHibernian2:1
- awayDundee1:1
- awayHearts1:2
Motherwell
- awayDundee1:2
- homeAberdeen0:4
- awayRangers0:1
- homeDundee United3:0
- awaySt. Mirren3:3
Head to head
- 04/26/25Premiership2:3
- 01/25/25Premiership2:1
- 11/09/24Premiership1:2
- 08/31/24Premiership1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Dundee73139:710
Dundee73139:7105
St. Mirren73138:910
St. Mirren73138:9106Saint Johnstone72239:108
Saint Johnstone72239:1087
Aberdeen72237:88
Aberdeen72237:888
Dundee United72239:118
Dundee United72239:1189Motherwell72239:118
Motherwell72239:11810
Hibernian72148:117
Hibernian72148:11711
Falkirk71336:96
Falkirk71336:96Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.