All matches

Sabah — Slavia Prague, UEFA Champions League

Europe, UEFA Champions League

Sabah
3.4WWLWW
—
Slavia Prague
3.8WWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
24%25%51%
Sabah24%Draw25%Slavia Prague51%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sabah24%4.13—
XDraw25%4.06—
2Slavia Prague51%1.96—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.32

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSabahSlavia PragueCombined
Goals scored2.002.174.17
Conceded0.830.671.50
Corners9.411.010.2
Cards0.81.42.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SabahSlavia Prague

Sabah FK 24%, SK Slavia Praha 51%. The safest is “SK Slavia Praha or draw” at 76%.

Sabah FK 24%Draw 25%SK Slavia Praha 51%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Sabah

  • homeMil Mugan3:1
  • awaySafa3:0
  • awayManchester United0:4
  • homeZira5:0
  • awayAraz1:0

Slavia Prague

  • homeViktoria Plzen2:1
  • awayTeplice2:0
  • homeLens2:3
  • homeZbrojovka Brno4:0
  • awaySparta Prague3:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sabah960318:1118
2Fenerbahce74309:415
3Levski Sofia843110:715
4Slovan Bratislava742111:1014
5Hapoel Be'er Sheva640210:812
6Dinamo Zagreb632114:911
7Bodo/Glimt531112:1110
8Avan Academy63039:89
9Kairat63035:49
10Kauno Zalgiris62226:108
11AEK Athens32105:07
12Universitatea Craiova42117:47
13KI Klaksvik42114:37
14Vikingur Reykjavik42115:57
15Red Star Belgrade42029:36
16Egnatia413012:76
17Sturm Graz42026:36
18Shamrock Rovers42027:66
19Celje613210:106
20AGF Aarhus42027:106
21Larne42023:106
22Iberia 199941216:75
23Lincoln Red Imps41214:55
24Lyon41126:54
25Viking31116:64
26Mjallby41124:44
27NEC Nijmegen41123:74
28PSG11006:13
29Bayern Munich11005:03
30Barcelona11005:13
31Manchester United11004:03
32Como11004:13
33Stuttgart11003:13
34Sporting CP11003:13
35Manchester City11002:03
36Real Betis11003:23
37Lens11003:23
38Aston Villa11003:23
39Borussia Dortmund11003:23
40Liverpool11002:13
41Real Madrid11002:13
42Arsenal11001:03
43LASK31025:53
44Lech Poznan21015:53
45Omonia21011:13
46Celtic21014:53
47Vardar21013:43
48Riga21013:43
49KuPS41034:63
50Floriana21013:53
51Sparta Prague21012:43
52Shakhtar Donetsk10101:11
53Roma10101:11
54PSV10101:11
55Union Saint-Gilloise20115:61
56Flora20114:51
57Thun20113:41
58Drita20113:41
59ETO Gyor20112:31
60Gornik Zabrze20111:21
61Olympiakos20111:21
62Inter Escaldes20112:41
63Borac Banja Luka20111:51
64Petrocub20112:71
65Slavia Prague10012:30
66Lille10012:30
67Villarreal10012:30

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.