Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92
No48%
ours 2.09
All matches
—
Sabah — Borussia Dortmund, UEFA Champions League
Europe, UEFA Champions League
Sabah
3.4WWLWW
Borussia Dortmund
3.4WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
15%76%
Sabah9%Draw15%Borussia Dortmund76%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sabah11.63—
XDraw6.64—
2Borussia Dortmund1.31—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSabahBorussia DortmundCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded0.830.331.16
Corners9.011.310.2
Cards0.72.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SabahBorussia Dortmund
Sabah FK 9%, BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund 76%. The safest is “BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund or draw” at 91%.
Sabah FK 9%Draw 15%BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund 76%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sabah
- homeMil Mugan3:1
- awaySafa3:0
- awayManchester United0:4
- homeZira5:0
- awayAraz1:0
Borussia Dortmund
- awayStuttgart1:0
- homePaderborn3:0
- homeVillarreal3:2
- awayHoffenheim3:2
- homeHamburger SV2:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sabah960318:1118
Sabah960318:11182
Fenerbahce74309:415
Fenerbahce74309:4153
Levski Sofia843110:715
Levski Sofia843110:7154
Slovan Bratislava742111:1014
Slovan Bratislava742111:10145
Hapoel Be'er Sheva640210:812
Hapoel Be'er Sheva640210:8126
Dinamo Zagreb632114:911
Dinamo Zagreb632114:9117
Bodo/Glimt531112:1110
Bodo/Glimt531112:11108
Avan Academy63039:89
Avan Academy63039:899
Kairat63035:49
Kairat63035:4910
Kauno Zalgiris62226:108
Kauno Zalgiris62226:10811
AEK Athens32105:07
AEK Athens32105:0712
Universitatea Craiova42117:47
Universitatea Craiova42117:4713
KI Klaksvik42114:37
KI Klaksvik42114:3714
Vikingur Reykjavik42115:57
Vikingur Reykjavik42115:5715
Red Star Belgrade42029:36
Red Star Belgrade42029:3616
Egnatia413012:76
Egnatia413012:7617
Sturm Graz42026:36
Sturm Graz42026:3618
Shamrock Rovers42027:66
Shamrock Rovers42027:6619
Celje613210:106
Celje613210:10620
AGF Aarhus42027:106
AGF Aarhus42027:10621
Larne42023:106
Larne42023:10622
Iberia 199941216:75
Iberia 199941216:7523
Lincoln Red Imps41214:55
Lincoln Red Imps41214:5524
Lyon41126:54
Lyon41126:5425
Viking31116:64
Viking31116:6426
Mjallby41124:44
Mjallby41124:4427
NEC Nijmegen41123:74
NEC Nijmegen41123:7428
PSG11006:13
PSG11006:1329
Bayern Munich11005:03
Bayern Munich11005:0330
Barcelona11005:13
Barcelona11005:1331
Manchester United11004:03
Manchester United11004:0332
Como11004:13
Como11004:1333
Stuttgart11003:13
Stuttgart11003:1334
Sporting CP11003:13
Sporting CP11003:1335
Manchester City11002:03
Manchester City11002:0336
Real Betis11003:23
Real Betis11003:2337
Lens11003:23
Lens11003:2338
Aston Villa11003:23
Aston Villa11003:2339Borussia Dortmund11003:23
Borussia Dortmund11003:2340
Liverpool11002:13
Liverpool11002:1341
Real Madrid11002:13
Real Madrid11002:13Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.