Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
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Union Saint-Gilloise — Real Sociedad, UEFA Europa League
Europe, UEFA Europa League
Union Saint-Gilloise
3.8WWWWW
Real Sociedad
1.8WLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
56%24%20%
Union Saint-Gilloise56%Draw24%Real Sociedad20%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Union Saint-Gilloise1.78—
XDraw4.15—
2Real Sociedad5.09—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUnion Saint-GilloiseReal SociedadCombined
Goals scored2.671.173.84
Conceded0.331.501.83
Corners8.012.810.4
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Union Saint-GilloiseReal Sociedad
Royal Union Saint-Gilloise 56%, Real Sociedad de Fútbol 20%. The safest is “Royal Union Saint-Gilloise or draw” at 80%.
Royal Union Saint-Gilloise 56%Draw 24%Real Sociedad de Fútbol 20%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Union Saint-Gilloise
- awayAntwerp2:0
- awayViktoria Plzen3:0
- homeLommel United5:0
- awayCharleroi3:2
- awaySint-Truiden3:0
Real Sociedad
- awayValencia3:2
- homeBournemouth1:2
- homeAtletico Madrid0:3
- awayElche3:2
- homeCelta Vigo0:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
25
Crystal Palace11004:03
Crystal Palace11004:0326
Sparta Prague11004:13
Sparta Prague11004:1327Union Saint-Gilloise11003:03
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:0328
Bayer Leverkusen11002:03
Bayer Leverkusen11002:0329
Bournemouth11002:13
Bournemouth11002:1330
Lyon11002:13
Lyon11002:1331
Olympiakos11002:13
Olympiakos11002:1332
Torreense11002:13
Torreense11002:1333
Sunderland11001:03
Sunderland11001:0334
Red Star Belgrade21014:53
Red Star Belgrade21014:5335
Sint-Truiden21013:43
Sint-Truiden21013:4336
Zilina21012:33
Zilina21012:3337
Viktoria Plzen31025:73
Viktoria Plzen31025:7338
Shamrock Rovers21014:63
Shamrock Rovers21014:6339
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:53
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:5340
Kauno Zalgiris21011:33
Kauno Zalgiris21011:3341
St. Gallen21012:63
St. Gallen21012:6342
U Cluj20200:02
U Cluj20200:0243
Dynamo Kyiv40222:52
Dynamo Kyiv40222:5244
Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:01
Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:0145
Sturm Graz10100:01
Sturm Graz10100:0146
Rennes10100:01
Rennes10100:0147
Dinamo Zagreb10100:01
Dinamo Zagreb10100:0148
Twente20113:41
Twente20113:4149
KuPS20112:31
KuPS20112:3150
Rangers20112:31
Rangers20112:3151
Lincoln Red Imps20111:21
Lincoln Red Imps20111:2152
Larne20111:21
Larne20111:2153
Gornik Zabrze20111:21
Gornik Zabrze20111:2154
Aluminij20110:11
Aluminij20110:1155
Hammarby20112:41
Hammarby20112:4156
Hearts20112:71
Hearts20112:7157Real Sociedad10011:20
Real Sociedad10011:2058
Levski Sofia10010:10
Levski Sofia10010:1059
AZ Alkmaar10010:10
AZ Alkmaar10010:10Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.