Both teams to score
Yes45%
ours 2.20
No55%
ours 1.83
All matches
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Union Saint-Gilloise — Hapoel Be'er Sheva, UEFA Europa League
Europe, UEFA Europa League
Union Saint-Gilloise
3.8WWWWW
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
3.5WDWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
71%19%
Union Saint-Gilloise71%Draw19%Hapoel Be'er Sheva10%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Union Saint-Gilloise1.40—
XDraw5.37—
2Hapoel Be'er Sheva10.02—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUnion Saint-GilloiseHapoel Be'er ShevaCombined
Goals scored2.170.502.67
Conceded0.330.000.33
Corners9.09.39.2
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Union Saint-GilloiseHapoel Be'er Sheva
Royal Union Saint-Gilloise 71%, Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 10%. The safest is “Royal Union Saint-Gilloise or draw” at 90%.
Royal Union Saint-Gilloise 71%Draw 19%Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 10%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Home
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Union Saint-Gilloise
- awayAntwerp2:0
- awayViktoria Plzen3:0
- homeLommel United5:0
- awayCharleroi3:2
- awaySint-Truiden3:0
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
- homeHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona1:0
- homeDinamo Zagreb0:0
- awayHapoel Petah Tikva2:0
- homeMaccabi Tel Aviv1:4
- homeHapoel Haifa2:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
25
Crystal Palace11004:03
Crystal Palace11004:0326
Sparta Prague11004:13
Sparta Prague11004:1327Union Saint-Gilloise11003:03
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:0328
Bayer Leverkusen11002:03
Bayer Leverkusen11002:0329
Bournemouth11002:13
Bournemouth11002:1330
Lyon11002:13
Lyon11002:1331
Olympiakos11002:13
Olympiakos11002:1332
Torreense11002:13
Torreense11002:1333
Sunderland11001:03
Sunderland11001:0334
Red Star Belgrade21014:53
Red Star Belgrade21014:5335
Sint-Truiden21013:43
Sint-Truiden21013:4336
Zilina21012:33
Zilina21012:3337
Viktoria Plzen31025:73
Viktoria Plzen31025:7338
Shamrock Rovers21014:63
Shamrock Rovers21014:6339
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:53
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:5340
Kauno Zalgiris21011:33
Kauno Zalgiris21011:3341
St. Gallen21012:63
St. Gallen21012:6342
U Cluj20200:02
U Cluj20200:0243
Dynamo Kyiv40222:52
Dynamo Kyiv40222:5244Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:01
Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:0145
Sturm Graz10100:01
Sturm Graz10100:0146
Rennes10100:01
Rennes10100:01Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.