Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
—
Union Saint-Gilloise — Cercle Brugge, Pro League
Belgium, Pro League
Union Saint-Gilloise
3.8WWWWW
Cercle Brugge
1.4LDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
76%17%
Union Saint-Gilloise76%Draw17%Cercle Brugge7%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Union Saint-Gilloise1.32—
XDraw5.73—
2Cercle Brugge14.27—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUnion Saint-GilloiseCercle BruggeCombined
Goals scored1.670.502.17
Conceded0.001.501.50
Corners8.010.49.2
Cards2.01.63.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Union Saint-GilloiseCercle Brugge
Royal Union Saint-Gilloise 76%, Cercle Brugge KSV 7%. The safest is “Royal Union Saint-Gilloise or draw” at 89%.
Royal Union Saint-Gilloise 76%Draw 17%Cercle Brugge KSV 7%
1st half
48 · 34 · 17
2nd half
49 · 35 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Union Saint-Gilloise
- awayAntwerp2:0
- awayViktoria Plzen3:0
- homeLommel United5:0
- awayCharleroi3:2
- awaySint-Truiden3:0
Cercle Brugge
- awayCharleroi2:3
- awayOH Leuven1:1
- homeGent0:3
- homeLommel United0:1
- awayClub Brugge0:1
Head to head
- 12/26/25Pro League1:1
- 11/22/25Pro League2:0
- 12/08/24Pro League0:0
- 10/27/24Pro League1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Union Saint-Gilloise761021:319
Union Saint-Gilloise761021:3192
Gent761013:419
Gent761013:4193
Club Brugge760115:318
Club Brugge760115:3184
Charleroi760115:718
Charleroi760115:7185
Anderlecht74127:513
Anderlecht74127:5136
Zulte-Waregem732210:711
Zulte-Waregem732210:7117
Standard Liege732213:1211
Standard Liege732213:12118
Westerlo731315:1610
Westerlo731315:16109
Genk723213:129
Genk723213:12910
Waasland-Beveren73047:119
Waasland-Beveren73047:11911
Sint-Truiden722312:128
Sint-Truiden722312:12812
Lommel United72236:88
Lommel United72236:8813
Antwerp721411:157
Antwerp721411:15714
La Louviere71157:144
La Louviere71157:14415
OH Leuven71155:134
OH Leuven71155:13416Cercle Brugge70348:143
Cercle Brugge70348:14317
Mechelen70345:143
Mechelen70345:14318
Kortrijk71062:153
Kortrijk71062:153Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.