All matches

Standard Liege — Charleroi, Pro League

Belgium, Pro League

Standard Liege
1.9LLWWW
—
Charleroi
2.1WWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
36%27%37%
Standard LiegeMarket 2.9136%DrawMarket 3.5727%CharleroiMarket 2.3637%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Standard Liege36%34%2.762.91+1.8
XDraw27%28%3.773.57-1.5
2Charleroi37%42%2.692.36-5.1

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.80book 1.63

No45%

ours 2.25book 2.14

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricStandard LiegeCharleroiCombined
Goals scored1.832.003.83
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners9.79.89.8
Cards1.21.22.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Standard LiegeCharleroi

Royal Standard de Liège 36%, Sporting du Pays de Charleroi 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Royal Standard de Liège 36%Draw 27%Sporting du Pays de Charleroi 37%
1st half
32 · 39 · 29
2nd half
28 · 40 · 32

Bookmakers: 2.91 · 3.57 · 2.36

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Standard Liege

  • awayGent1:2
  • awayWesterlo2:4
  • homeAntwerp1:0
  • awayOH Leuven2:1
  • homeLa Louviere2:0

Charleroi

  • homeCercle Brugge3:2
  • awayZulte-Waregem1:0
  • homeUnion Saint-Gilloise2:3
  • awayKortrijk3:1
  • homeMechelen2:0

Head to head

  • 05/23/26Pro League0:2
  • 04/18/26Pro League2:1
  • 01/18/26Pro League0:2
  • 10/31/25Pro League3:1
  • 05/04/25Pro League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Gent761013:419
3Club Brugge760115:318
4Charleroi760115:718
5Anderlecht74127:513
6Zulte-Waregem732210:711
7Standard Liege732213:1211
8Westerlo731315:1610
9Genk723213:129

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.