Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.14
All matches
—
Standard Liege — Kortrijk, Pro League
Belgium, Pro League
Standard Liege
1.9LLWWW
Kortrijk
1.2WLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
57%25%18%
Standard Liege57%Draw25%Kortrijk18%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Standard Liege1.76—
XDraw4.02—
2Kortrijk5.49—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricStandard LiegeKortrijkCombined
Goals scored1.000.171.17
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners11.37.89.5
Cards0.82.53.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Standard LiegeKortrijk
Royal Standard de Liège 57%, KV Kortrijk 18%. The safest is “Royal Standard de Liège or draw” at 79%.
Royal Standard de Liège 57%Draw 25%KV Kortrijk 18%
1st half
39 · 39 · 23
2nd half
38 · 40 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Standard Liege
- awayGent1:2
- awayWesterlo2:4
- homeAntwerp1:0
- awayOH Leuven2:1
- homeLa Louviere2:0
Kortrijk
- homeWaasland-Beveren1:0
- awayLa Louviere0:3
- homeZulte-Waregem0:2
- awayAnderlecht0:1
- homeCharleroi1:3
Head to head
- 01/10/25Pro League1:0
- 08/18/24Pro League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Anderlecht74127:513
Anderlecht74127:5136
Zulte-Waregem732210:711
Zulte-Waregem732210:7117Standard Liege732213:1211
Standard Liege732213:12118
Westerlo731315:1610
Westerlo731315:16109
Genk723213:129
Genk723213:12910
Waasland-Beveren73047:119
Waasland-Beveren73047:11911
Sint-Truiden722312:128
Sint-Truiden722312:12812
Lommel United72236:88
Lommel United72236:8813
Antwerp721411:157
Antwerp721411:15714
La Louviere71157:144
La Louviere71157:14415
OH Leuven71155:134
OH Leuven71155:13416
Cercle Brugge70348:143
Cercle Brugge70348:14317
Mechelen70345:143
Mechelen70345:14318Kortrijk71062:153
Kortrijk71062:153Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.