Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.00
No50%
ours 2.00
All matches
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Rochdale — Grimsby Town, EFL League Two
England, EFL League Two
Rochdale
WWWDL
Grimsby Town
LLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
24%26%50%
Rochdale24%Draw26%Grimsby Town50%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rochdale4.10—
XDraw3.91—
2Grimsby Town2.00—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
RochdaleGrimsby Town
Rochdale AFC 24%, Grimsby Town FC 50%. The safest is “Grimsby Town FC or draw” at 76%.
Rochdale AFC 24%Draw 26%Grimsby Town FC 50%
1st half
20 · 41 · 40
2nd half
22 · 42 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRochdaleGrimsby TownCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners10.813.812.3
Cards1.01.82.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Rochdale
- homeSwindon Town1:0
- awayFleetwood Town2:1
- homeOldham Athletic2:0
- awayWalsall0:0
- homeGillingham1:4
Grimsby Town
- homeShrewsbury Town1:2
- awayNewport County1:2
- homeCrawley Town2:0
- homeBristol Rovers2:0
- awayCheltenham Town2:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Walsall835011:514
Walsall835011:5148
Chesterfield942315:1214
Chesterfield942315:12149Grimsby Town934213:1013
Grimsby Town934213:101310
Gillingham934211:913
Gillingham934211:91311Rochdale941410:1113
Rochdale941410:111312
Tranmere Rovers925212:1211
Tranmere Rovers925212:121113
Swindon Town93249:1311
Swindon Town93249:1311Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.