All matches

Radomiak Radom — Motor Lublin, Ekstraklasa

Poland, Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom
1.6LLDWD
—
Motor Lublin
1.7DLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
47%25%28%
Radomiak RadomMarket 2.3347%DrawMarket 3.7225%Motor LublinMarket 2.5828%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Radomiak Radom47%43%2.152.33+3.7
XDraw25%27%3.973.72-1.7
2Motor Lublin28%39%3.552.58-10.6

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.63book 1.43

No38%

ours 2.60book 2.63

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRadomiak RadomMotor LublinCombined
Goals scored0.500.831.33
Conceded2.171.333.50
Corners14.07.510.8
Cards1.21.72.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Radomiak RadomMotor Lublin

RKS Radomiak Radom 47%, Motor Lublin SA 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

RKS Radomiak Radom 47%Draw 25%Motor Lublin SA 28%
1st half
35 · 36 · 29
2nd half
38 · 38 · 24

Bookmakers: 2.33 · 3.72 · 2.58

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%1.44
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Radomiak Radom

  • awayLech Poznan1:5
  • homePiast Gliwice0:2
  • awayWidzew Lodz0:0
  • homeCracovia Krakow2:1
  • homeZaglebie Lubin0:0

Motor Lublin

  • homeGornik Zabrze0:0
  • awayRakow1:2
  • homeLegia Warsaw2:3
  • homePiast Gliwice0:2
  • awayKorona Kielce1:1

Head to head

  • 04/06/26Ekstraklasa1:1
  • 09/29/25Ekstraklasa2:2
  • 05/24/25Ekstraklasa2:3
  • 12/02/24Ekstraklasa0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Widzew Lodz916213:139
13Cracovia Krakow92259:148
14Radomiak Radom92257:208
15Slask Wroclaw913511:156
16Motor Lublin91359:156
17Wieczysta Krakow812511:175
18Rakow910812:213

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.