Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76book 1.68
No43%
ours 2.32book 2.06
All matches
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Real Valladolid — Albacete, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
Real Valladolid
0.6DWDLW
Albacete
1.7LLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%26%28%
Real ValladolidMarket 2.0047%DrawMarket 3.3826%AlbaceteMarket 4.0428%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Valladolid2.142.00-3.3
XDraw3.923.38-4.0
2Albacete3.594.04+3.1
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricReal ValladolidAlbaceteCombined
Goals scored1.330.501.83
Conceded1.331.833.16
Corners7.28.88.0
Cards3.22.05.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Real ValladolidAlbacete
Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol 47%, Albacete Balompié 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol 47%Draw 26%Albacete Balompié 28%
1st half
40 · 38 · 22
2nd half
33 · 40 · 27
Bookmakers: 2.00 · 3.38 · 4.04
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%1.18
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Real Valladolid
- awayLas Palmas2:2
- homeCordoba3:1
- awayCeuta1:1
- homeReal Oviedo0:3
- homeAndorra1:0
Albacete
- homeEibar1:3
- awayGirona0:2
- homeCordoba1:2
- awayGranada1:1
- awayCastellon0:2
Head to head
- 01/24/26Segunda División0:1
- 09/21/25Segunda División0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Tenerife832310:1211
Tenerife832310:121113
Leganes83236:1111
Leganes83236:111114Real Valladolid82338:119
Real Valladolid82338:11915
Cordoba830513:189
Cordoba830513:18916
Real Sociedad II822411:138
Real Sociedad II822411:13817
Eldense82248:108
Eldense82248:10818
Celta Vigo II822410:148
Celta Vigo II822410:14819
Cadiz814311:107
Cadiz814311:10720
Andorra821512:157
Andorra821512:15721
Ceuta81257:185
Ceuta81257:18522Albacete80175:151
Albacete80175:151Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.