All matches

Real Sociedad — Deportivo La Coruna, La Liga

Spain, La Liga

Real Sociedad
1.8WLLWD
—
Deportivo La Coruna
2.5DLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%25%29%
Real SociedadMarket 1.7546%DrawMarket 3.9825%Deportivo La CorunaMarket 5.2329%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Sociedad46%57%2.171.75-11.3
XDraw25%25%3.943.98+0.3
2Deportivo La Coruna29%19%3.505.23+9.4

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.71book 1.75

No42%

ours 2.40book 1.98

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricReal SociedadDeportivo La CorunaCombined
Goals scored1.501.503.00
Conceded1.671.172.84
Corners12.310.511.4
Cards2.01.73.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Real SociedadDeportivo La Coruna

Real Sociedad de Fútbol 46%, Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Real Sociedad de Fútbol 46%Draw 25%Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña 29%
1st half
42 · 37 · 21
2nd half
33 · 37 · 30

Bookmakers: 1.75 · 3.98 · 5.23

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

72%1.20
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Real Sociedad

  • awayValencia3:2
  • homeBournemouth1:2
  • homeAtletico Madrid0:3
  • awayElche3:2
  • homeCelta Vigo0:0

Deportivo La Coruna

  • homeReal Betis1:1
  • homeSevilla0:1
  • awayGetafe1:1
  • awayVillarreal3:2
  • homeValencia3:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Sevilla741210:913
6Alaves732211:611
7Deportivo La Coruna724110:810
8Real Sociedad73139:1310
9Villarreal722313:128
10Athletic Bilbao62227:68

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.