Real Monarchs SLC 2:1 Ventura County, MLS Next Pro
USA, MLS Next ProMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedVentura County44%
Actual: Real Monarchs SLC — we had 34%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.565%
- Both teams to score LandedYes66%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Real Monarchs SLC
- homeVentura County2:1
- homeMinnesota United II0:0
- awaySan Jose Earthquakes II0:4
- awayNorth Texas1:4
- homeTacoma Defiance3:0
Ventura County
- awayReal Monarchs SLC1:2
- homeTacoma Defiance3:0
- awaySan Jose Earthquakes II3:1
- awayLAFC 21:1
- awayColorado Rapids II3:2
Head to head
- 09/20/26MLS Next Pro2:1
- 06/28/26MLS Next Pro1:3
- 04/13/26MLS Next Pro0:2
- 09/15/25MLS Next Pro0:0
- 06/02/25MLS Next Pro3:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Chattanooga28157656:3952
Portland Timbers II281410437:2952Ventura County28147758:3649
Houston Dynamo II28146853:3348
Atlanta United II28145962:4647
New York Red Bulls II281351058:4844
Connecticut United281421259:5244
New York City II281351050:4444
New England Revolution II28128847:4244
Columbus Crew II28127949:4343
Minnesota United II281261043:3942
LAFC 228119850:4842
Huntsville City281261049:4742
Orlando City II281261056:5542
Philadelphia Union II281251137:4041
St. Louis City II281010842:4040
San Jose Earthquakes II281161151:3639
Tacoma Defiance281151240:4438
Toronto FC II281141348:5637
Chicago Fire II281051349:4935
North Texas288101042:4134Real Monarchs SLC28851538:5529
Carolina Core285111240:5326
Vancouver Whitecaps II28741740:6125Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.