All matches

Celta Vigo II — Real Sociedad II, Segunda División

Spain, Segunda División

Celta Vigo II
1.8LDLLW
—
Real Sociedad II
1.5LLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%24%23%
Celta Vigo IIMarket 2.2852%DrawMarket 3.6124%Real Sociedad IIMarket 3.0623%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Celta Vigo II52%44%1.922.28+8.3
XDraw24%28%4.093.61-3.3
2Real Sociedad II23%33%4.273.06-9.2

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.69book 1.56

No41%

ours 2.45book 2.28

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCelta Vigo IIReal Sociedad IICombined
Goals scored1.001.502.50
Conceded2.001.833.83
Corners8.88.58.7
Cards2.33.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Celta Vigo IIReal Sociedad II

Real Club Celta de Vigo II 52%, Real Sociedad de Fútbol II 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Real Club Celta de Vigo II 52%Draw 24%Real Sociedad de Fútbol II 23%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
42 · 37 · 21

Bookmakers: 2.28 · 3.61 · 3.06

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%1.28
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Celta Vigo II

  • awaySporting Gijon2:3
  • homeSabadell1:1
  • awayAlmeria0:2
  • homeEibar0:4
  • awayCeuta2:0

Real Sociedad II

  • homeGranada2:3
  • awayCeuta1:3
  • homeMallorca0:1
  • awayAndorra3:1
  • homeTenerife1:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Real Valladolid82338:119
15Cordoba830513:189
16Real Sociedad II822411:138
17Eldense82248:108
18Celta Vigo II822410:148
19Cadiz814311:107
20Andorra821512:157

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.