Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
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Real Betis — Malaga, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Real Betis
3.1DWWWW
Malaga
2.2LLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%22%14%
Real Betis65%Draw22%Malaga14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Betis1.55—
XDraw4.58—
2Malaga7.35—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricReal BetisMalagaCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded0.170.831.00
Corners16.010.713.3
Cards1.02.73.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Real BetisMalaga
Real Betis Balompié 65%, Málaga CF 14%. The safest is “Real Betis Balompié or draw” at 85%.
Real Betis Balompié 65%Draw 22%Málaga CF 14%
1st half
48 · 34 · 18
2nd half
41 · 38 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Real Betis
- awayDeportivo La Coruna1:1
- homeGetafe1:0
- awayVillarreal2:1
- awayLille3:2
- homeReal Madrid1:0
Malaga
- awayGetafe0:1
- homeVillarreal1:3
- awayCelta Vigo1:1
- homeLevante0:0
- awayReal Madrid0:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Barcelona770031:721
Barcelona770031:7212
Atletico Madrid751116:716
Atletico Madrid751116:7163Real Betis75119:716
Real Betis75119:7164
Real Madrid750218:815
Real Madrid750218:8155
Sevilla741210:913
Sevilla741210:9136
Alaves732211:611
Alaves732211:6117
Deportivo La Coruna724110:810
Deportivo La Coruna724110:8108
Real Sociedad73139:1310
Real Sociedad73139:13109
Villarreal722313:128
Villarreal722313:12810
Athletic Bilbao62227:68
Athletic Bilbao62227:6811
Getafe72234:78
Getafe72234:7812
Rayo Vallecano722311:168
Rayo Vallecano722311:16813
Osasuna72236:138
Osasuna72236:13814
Celta Vigo71428:67
Celta Vigo71428:6715
Espanyol721410:107
Espanyol721410:10716
Racing Santander721411:217
Racing Santander721411:21717
Levante61238:125
Levante61238:12518
Elche712411:175
Elche712411:17519
Valencia71154:134
Valencia71154:13420Malaga70343:123
Malaga70343:123Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.