Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.48
All matches
—
Racing Club — Aldosivi, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Racing Club
2.1WWLLL
Aldosivi
0.7LWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
59%24%17%
Racing Club59%Draw24%Aldosivi17%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Racing Club1.69—
XDraw4.23—
2Aldosivi5.85—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRacing ClubAldosiviCombined
Goals scored1.000.671.67
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners11.39.710.5
Cards1.72.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Racing ClubAldosivi
Racing Club de Avellaneda 59%, CA Aldosivi 17%. The safest is “Racing Club de Avellaneda or draw” at 82%.
Racing Club de Avellaneda 59%Draw 24%CA Aldosivi 17%
1st half
49 · 34 · 18
2nd half
39 · 36 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Racing Club
- awayEstudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- homeSarmiento3:1
- awayHuracan1:2
- homeTucuman1:2
- awayIndependiente Rivadavia1:3
Aldosivi
- awayHuracan0:1
- homeTucuman1:0
- awayIndependiente Rivadavia3:4
- homeBanfield3:1
- awayArgentinos Juniors1:2
Head to head
- 04/19/26Primera División1:1
- 10/17/25Primera División1:0
- 04/14/25Primera División2:0
- 06/06/17Primera División1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:343617
Barracas Central2698922:2335
Barracas Central2698922:233518Racing Club29981232:3435
Racing Club29981232:343519
Sarmiento261121330:3635
Sarmiento261121330:363520
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:3234
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:323421
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:2734
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:273422
Tigre27711928:2632
Tigre27711928:263223
Newell's Old Boys27711926:3532
Newell's Old Boys27711926:353224
Tucuman27691224:2927
Tucuman27691224:292725
Banfield26761328:3527
Banfield26761328:352726
Platense275111121:3226
Platense275111121:322627
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27671419:3525
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27671419:352528
Riestra263131014:2022
Riestra263131014:202229Aldosivi272101518:3616
Aldosivi272101518:361630
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto26251910:3711
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto26251910:3711Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.