Both teams to score
Yes45%
ours 2.20book 1.87
No55%
ours 1.83book 1.82
All matches
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Queen's Park — Inverness CT, Championship
Scotland, Championship
Queen's Park
LLLWD
Inverness CT
WDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
19%31%50%
Queen's ParkMarket 5.3619%DrawMarket 3.6031%Inverness CTMarket 1.5650%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Queen's Park5.155.36+0.8
XDraw3.273.60+2.8
2Inverness CT2.001.56-14.1
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Queen's ParkInverness CT
Queen's Park FC 19%, Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC 50%. The safest is “Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC or draw” at 81%.
Queen's Park FC 19%Draw 31%Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC 50%
1st half
22 · 41 · 37
2nd half
17 · 41 · 42
Bookmakers: 5.36 · 3.60 · 1.56
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%1.19
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricQueen's ParkInverness CTCombined
Goals scored0.501.331.83
Conceded1.171.332.50
Corners13.49.011.2
Cards2.42.04.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Queen's Park
- awayArbroath1:2
- homeAyr United0:2
- awayDunfermline0:2
- homeGreenock Morton2:1
- awayPartick Thistle0:0
Inverness CT
- homeGreenock Morton2:0
- awayLivingston FC2:2
- awayAyr United3:1
- homeRaith Rovers0:2
- awayStenhousemuir1:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Ayr United93249:1011
Ayr United93249:10117
Arbroath93246:1311
Arbroath93246:13118Inverness CT82429:910
Inverness CT82429:9109Queen's Park81164:134
Queen's Park81164:13410
Greenock Morton90185:171
Greenock Morton90185:171Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.