All matches

Qingdao Youth Island FC — Yunnan Yukun FC, Chinese Super League

China, Chinese Super League

Qingdao Youth Island FC
DDWDD
—
Yunnan Yukun FC
WLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%26%30%
Qingdao Youth Island FC44%Draw26%Yunnan Yukun FC30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Qingdao Youth Island FC44%2.27—
XDraw26%3.90—
2Yunnan Yukun FC30%3.30—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.66

No40%

ours 2.52

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricQingdao Youth Island FCYunnan Yukun FCCombined
Goals scored0.831.832.66
Conceded0.501.672.17
Corners8.811.310.0
Cards1.31.32.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Qingdao Youth Island FCYunnan Yukun FC

Qingdao Youth Island FC 44%, Yunnan Yukun FC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Qingdao Youth Island FC 44%Draw 26%Yunnan Yukun FC 30%
1st half
37 · 35 · 28
2nd half
30 · 35 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Qingdao Youth Island FC

  • awayWuhan Three Towns FC2:2
  • awayTianjin Teda FC1:1
  • homeShandong Luneng Taishan FC2:0
  • homeChongqing Tongliang Long FC0:0
  • awayHenan Jianye FC0:0

Yunnan Yukun FC

  • homeShenyang Urban FC5:0
  • awayZhejiang Professional FC0:6
  • awayBeijing Guoan FC3:3
  • homeDalian Zhixing FC3:1
  • homeChengdu Better City FC1:0

Head to head

  • 05/24/26Chinese Super League3:2
  • 11/02/25Chinese Super League0:1
  • 06/14/25Chinese Super League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Dalian Zhixing FC261241038:4240
6Shanghai SIPG FC26108840:3338
7Yunnan Yukun FC261151054:5138
8Qingdao Youth Island FC26814431:3238
9Zhejiang Professional FC261061045:4336
10Tianjin Teda FC2698936:3235

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.