Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
—
Pyunik — Urartu, Armenian Premier League
Armenia, Armenian Premier League
Pyunik
3.0DWWDW
Urartu
2.5WLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%25%24%
Pyunik51%Draw25%Urartu24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Pyunik1.95—
XDraw4.07—
2Urartu4.14—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPyunikUrartuCombined
Goals scored1.500.672.17
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners11.38.39.8
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PyunikUrartu
Pyunik FC 51%, FC Banants 24%. The safest is “Pyunik FC or draw” at 74%.
Pyunik FC 51%Draw 25%FC Banants 24%
1st half
38 · 41 · 21
2nd half
35 · 36 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Pyunik
- awayAlashkert3:3
- homeShirak2:0
- awaySardarapat4:2
- awayGandzasar0:0
- homeAvan Academy2:1
Urartu
- awayGandzasar Kapan3:0
- homeArtsakh0:3
- awayCSKA Yerevan1:2
- homeAlashkert1:1
- awayShirak1:0
Head to head
- 08/02/26Armenian Premier League2:2
- 04/23/26Armenian Premier League2:1
- 11/21/25Armenian Premier League1:1
- 08/29/25Armenian Premier League1:2
- 04/19/25Armenian Premier League1:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Artsakh880021:524
Artsakh880021:5242
Avan Academy861117:819
Avan Academy861117:8193Pyunik853018:818
Pyunik853018:8184
Alashkert843118:615
Alashkert843118:6155
Sardarapat833214:1212
Sardarapat833214:12126Urartu832312:1011
Urartu832312:10117
Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:139Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.