Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
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Portland Timbers II — St. Louis City II, MLS Next Pro
USA, MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers II
2.4DDDWD
St. Louis City II
2.6LDWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%25%29%
Portland Timbers II47%Draw25%St. Louis City II29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Portland Timbers II2.15—
XDraw4.08—
2St. Louis City II3.46—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPortland Timbers IISt. Louis City IICombined
Goals scored1.501.332.83
Conceded0.831.172.00
Corners7.510.08.8
Cards1.30.31.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Portland Timbers IISt. Louis City II
Portland Timbers II 47%, St. Louis City SC II 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Portland Timbers II 47%Draw 25%St. Louis City SC II 29%
1st half
35 · 42 · 23
2nd half
34 · 38 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Portland Timbers II
- awayTacoma Defiance1:1
- homeSt. Louis City II1:1
- homeVancouver Whitecaps II0:0
- homeAustin II2:1
- awayLos Angeles Galaxy II2:2
St. Louis City II
- homeAustin II0:2
- awayPortland Timbers II1:1
- awaySporting Kansas City II2:1
- homeNorth Texas1:1
- homeHouston Dynamo II2:2
Head to head
- 09/14/26MLS Next Pro1:1
- 07/18/26MLS Next Pro2:1
- 10/05/25MLS Next Pro2:1
- 05/24/25MLS Next Pro3:6
- 04/07/24MLS Next Pro1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Crown Legacy28158567:3953
Crown Legacy28158567:39533
Chattanooga28157656:3952
Chattanooga28157656:39524Portland Timbers II281410437:2952
Portland Timbers II281410437:29525
Los Angeles Galaxy II28147758:3649
Los Angeles Galaxy II28147758:36496
Houston Dynamo II28146853:3348
Houston Dynamo II28146853:33487
Atlanta United II28145962:4647
Atlanta United II28145962:46478
New York Red Bulls II281351058:4844
New York Red Bulls II281351058:48449
Connecticut United281421259:5244
Connecticut United281421259:524410
New York City II281351050:4444
New York City II281351050:444411
New England Revolution II28128847:4244
New England Revolution II28128847:424412
Columbus Crew II28127949:4343
Columbus Crew II28127949:434313
Minnesota United II281261043:3942
Minnesota United II281261043:394214
LAFC 228119850:4842
LAFC 228119850:484215
Huntsville City281261049:4742
Huntsville City281261049:474216
Orlando City II281261056:5542
Orlando City II281261056:554217
Philadelphia Union II281251137:4041
Philadelphia Union II281251137:404118St. Louis City II281010842:4040
St. Louis City II281010842:404019
San Jose Earthquakes II281161151:3639
San Jose Earthquakes II281161151:363920
Tacoma Defiance281151240:4438
Tacoma Defiance281151240:4438Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.