Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.01
No50%
ours 1.99
All matches
—
Portadown — Linfield, NIFL Premiership
Northern Ireland, NIFL Premiership
Portadown
1.2DLLDL
Linfield
3.0WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
19%18%63%
Portadown19%Draw18%Linfield63%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Portadown5.39—
XDraw5.43—
2Linfield1.59—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPortadownLinfieldCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded1.330.331.66
Corners7.89.38.5
Cards2.31.33.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PortadownLinfield
Portadown FC 19%, Linfield FC 63%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Portadown FC 19%Draw 18%Linfield FC 63%
1st half
22 · 40 · 37
2nd half
24 · 38 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Portadown
- homeLimavady United2:2
- awayBallymena United0:2
- awayBangor1:3
- homeLinfield1:1
- homeLarne0:2
Linfield
- awayColeraine3:1
- homeCrusaders1:0
- awayPortadown1:1
- awayDungannon Swifts1:0
- homeCarrick Rangers1:0
Head to head
- 09/15/26NIFL Premiership1:1
- 03/10/26NIFL Premiership1:3
- 10/17/25NIFL Premiership2:0
- 09/06/25NIFL Premiership0:3
- 01/18/25NIFL Premiership1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Coleraine1081122:1025
Coleraine1081122:10252Linfield971112:622
Linfield971112:6223
Larne651012:316
Larne651012:3164
Glentoran1051415:1016
Glentoran1051415:10165
Crusaders1050515:1815
Crusaders1050515:18156
Carrick Rangers1041515:1513
Carrick Rangers1041515:15137
Dungannon Swifts94149:1013
Dungannon Swifts94149:10138
Ballymena United933313:1112
Ballymena United933313:11129
Cliftonville1040612:1212
Cliftonville1040612:121210
Limavady United93159:1310
Limavady United93159:131011
Bangor1012710:225
Bangor1012710:22512Portadown100287:212
Portadown100287:212Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.