Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.18
All matches
—
Polokwane City — Kruger United, Premier Soccer League
South Africa, Premier Soccer League
Polokwane City
LDDDL
Kruger United
LWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%32%25%
Polokwane City44%Draw32%Kruger United25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Polokwane City2.30—
XDraw3.15—
2Kruger United4.05—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Polokwane CityKruger United
Polokwane City FC 44%, Kruger United FC 25%. The safest is “Polokwane City FC or draw” at 72%.
Polokwane City FC 44%Draw 32%Kruger United FC 25%
1st half
40 · 41 · 18
2nd half
28 · 40 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPolokwane CityKruger UnitedCombined
Goals scored0.500.170.67
Conceded0.671.171.84
Corners8.510.39.4
Cards2.01.53.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Polokwane City
- homeAmaZulu0:1
- homeKaizer Chiefs1:1
- awayMarumo Gallants2:2
- homeMilford0:0
- awaySekhukhune United0:2
Kruger United
- homeStellenbosch0:1
- awayTS Galaxy1:0
- homeOrlando Pirates0:4
- homeDurban City0:2
- awayMilford1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Chippa United71514:68
Chippa United71514:6810
Durban City71424:57
Durban City71424:5711Polokwane City71428:107
Polokwane City71428:10712
TS Galaxy71337:96
TS Galaxy71337:9613Kruger United71153:124
Kruger United71153:12414
Siwelele70346:133
Siwelele70346:13315
Richards Bay70348:173
Richards Bay70348:173Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.