Policía Nacional 0:0 Olancho, Liga Nacional


Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedOlancho37%
Actual: Draw — we had 29%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.555%
- Both teams to score MissedYes51%
Actual: No — we had 49%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Policía Nacional
- homeOlimpia0:1
- homeOlancho0:0
- awayMotagua0:1
- awayJuticalpa3:0
- homeMarathon1:2
Olancho
- awayPolicía Nacional0:0
- homeReal Espana1:1
- awayAtletico Choloma0:0
- awayMotagua1:2
- homeOlimpia1:1
Head to head
- 09/19/26Liga Nacional0:0
- 05/15/26Liga Nacional1:1
- 05/07/26Liga Nacional3:1
- 05/01/26Liga Nacional2:2
- 03/11/26Liga Nacional0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.
