All matches

Policía Nacional 0:0 Olancho, Liga Nacional

Honduras, Liga NacionalMatch finished

Policía Nacional
1.8LDLWL
0:0HT 0:0
Olancho
2.2DDDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
34%29%37%
Policía Nacional34%Draw29%Olancho37%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.65xG2.01
41Possession, %59
13Shots16
4Shots on target6
7Corners6
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
8Fouls17
0Offsides4

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 76 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Olancho37%

    Actual: Draw — we had 29%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.555%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes51%

    Actual: No — we had 49%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Policía Nacional34%2.95—
XDraw29%3.39—
2Olancho37%2.73—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Form and context

Policía Nacional

  • homeOlimpia0:1
  • homeOlancho0:0
  • awayMotagua0:1
  • awayJuticalpa3:0
  • homeMarathon1:2

Olancho

  • awayPolicía Nacional0:0
  • homeReal Espana1:1
  • awayAtletico Choloma0:0
  • awayMotagua1:2
  • homeOlimpia1:1

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Liga Nacional0:0
  • 05/15/26Liga Nacional1:1
  • 05/07/26Liga Nacional3:1
  • 05/01/26Liga Nacional2:2
  • 03/11/26Liga Nacional0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Marathon953114:618
4Motagua951313:916
5Policía Nacional932410:711
6Olancho82516:511
7Estrella Roja823313:169
8Atletico Independiente82337:119

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.