Polissya Zhytomyr 1:0 Kryvbas, Premier League
Ukraine, Premier LeagueMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedPolissya Zhytomyr61%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.558%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 42%
- Both teams to score MissedYes55%
Actual: No — we had 45%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Polissya Zhytomyr
- homeKryvbas1:0
- homeLivyi Bereh1:0
- homeKudrivka5:1
- awayShakhtar Donetsk2:0
- homeZorya Luhansk1:2
Kryvbas
- awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:1
- homeKolos Kovalivka2:2
- awayChornomorets Odessa0:1
- homeLivyi Bereh1:1
- awayZorya Luhansk3:1
Head to head
- 09/18/26Premier League1:0
- 03/14/26Premier League2:0
- 09/14/25Premier League1:0
- 05/25/25Premier League1:1
- 11/30/24Premier League1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Shakhtar Donetsk870118:421Polissya Zhytomyr760115:518
Metalist Kharkiv750214:515
Karpaty Lviv742115:514
Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
Veres Rivne82336:99
Kolos Kovalivka72239:118
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi82247:108
LNZ Cherkasy72235:88
Zorya Luhansk72237:118
Livyi Bereh61414:37
Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67Kryvbas61237:105
Chornomorets Odessa71244:95
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.