Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.62
No38%
ours 2.62
All matches
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Plymouth Argyle FC — Reading, EFL League One
England, EFL League One
Plymouth Argyle FC
1.4WLWWW
Reading
DDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
50%23%28%
Plymouth Argyle FC50%Draw23%Reading28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Plymouth Argyle FC2.02—
XDraw4.39—
2Reading3.61—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPlymouth Argyle FCReadingCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners8.513.010.8
Cards2.52.55.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Plymouth Argyle FCReading
Plymouth Argyle FC 50%, Reading FC 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Plymouth Argyle FC 50%Draw 23%Reading FC 28%
1st half
31 · 41 · 28
2nd half
49 · 26 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Plymouth Argyle FC
- awayLeyton Orient2:0
- homeBurton Albion0:1
- awayBlackpool4:2
- homeBarnsley3:0
- awayDoncaster Rovers3:2
Reading
- homeBradford City1:1
- awayWycombe Wanderers2:2
- homeNotts County2:0
- awayCambridge United1:2
- homeBlackpool3:1
Head to head
- 03/14/26EFL League One2:2
- 12/26/25EFL League One1:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Plymouth Argyle FC951316:1116
Plymouth Argyle FC951316:11162
Bradford City85128:516
Bradford City85128:5163
Huddersfield Town843114:715
Huddersfield Town843114:7154
Sheffield Wednesday FC742113:614
Sheffield Wednesday FC742113:6145
Stockport County841317:1013
Stockport County841317:10136
Cambridge United834113:1113
Cambridge United834113:11137Reading833217:1012
Reading833217:10128
Burton Albion933314:1512
Burton Albion933314:15129
AFC Wimbledon83326:812
AFC Wimbledon83326:812Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.