Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69book 1.67
No41%
ours 2.45book 2.11
All matches
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Krylia Sovetov — Spartak Moscow, Russian Premier League
Russia, Russian Premier League
Krylia Sovetov
1.4DWDDW
Spartak Moscow
2.8WWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
25%25%50%
Krylia SovetovMarket 5.1825%DrawMarket 4.3125%Spartak MoscowMarket 1.6950%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Krylia Sovetov4.015.18+5.6
XDraw3.994.31+1.9
2Spartak Moscow2.001.69-9.0
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKrylia SovetovSpartak MoscowCombined
Goals scored2.001.673.67
Conceded1.830.672.50
Corners7.79.38.5
Cards2.82.55.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 25%, FK Spartak Moskva 50%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 25%Draw 25%FK Spartak Moskva 50%
1st half
30 · 33 · 37
2nd half
25 · 40 · 36
Bookmakers: 5.18 · 4.31 · 1.69
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
71%1.16
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Krylia Sovetov
- awayLokomotiv Moskva1:1
- homeRodina Moskva2:1
- homeKrasnodar2:2
- awayAkhmat Grozny3:3
- awayAkron Togliatti3:0
Spartak Moscow
- homeFakel Voronezh1:0
- homeRostov3:0
- awayDinamo Moskva1:2
- homeOrenburg1:1
- homeZenit2:0
Head to head
- 05/01/26Russian Premier League2:1
- 09/21/25Russian Premier League1:2
- 05/18/25Russian Premier League0:2
- 08/05/24Russian Premier League0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Krasnodar963014:721
Krasnodar963014:7212Spartak Moscow961216:719
Spartak Moscow961216:7193
CSKA Moscow954015:919
CSKA Moscow954015:9194
Dinamo Moskva961214:819
Dinamo Moskva961214:8195
Zenit960319:918
Zenit960319:9186
Rubin Kazan926112:1112
Rubin Kazan926112:11127
Makhachkala940515:1612
Makhachkala940515:16128
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:12119Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
Krylia Sovetov925213:141110
Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
Akhmat Grozny924313:131011
Orenburg91627:109
Orenburg91627:109Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.