All matches

Krylia Sovetov — Fakel Voronezh, Russian Premier League

Russia, Russian Premier League

Krylia Sovetov
1.4DWDDW
—
Fakel Voronezh
0.9LDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
56%26%17%
Krylia Sovetov56%Draw26%Fakel Voronezh17%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Krylia Sovetov56%1.77—
XDraw26%3.82—
2Fakel Voronezh17%5.77—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86

No46%

ours 2.16

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKrylia SovetovFakel VoronezhCombined
Goals scored1.830.502.33
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners6.49.27.8
Cards2.82.04.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Krylia SovetovFakel Voronezh

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 56%, FK Fakel Voronezh 17%. The safest is “PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or draw” at 80%.

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 56%Draw 26%FK Fakel Voronezh 17%
1st half
37 · 41 · 22
2nd half
40 · 38 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Krylia Sovetov

  • awayLokomotiv Moskva1:1
  • homeRodina Moskva2:1
  • homeKrasnodar2:2
  • awayAkhmat Grozny3:3
  • awayAkron Togliatti3:0

Fakel Voronezh

  • awaySpartak Moscow0:1
  • homeBaltika Kaliningrad2:2
  • awayRostov1:3
  • homeZenit0:1
  • homeOrenburg0:0

Head to head

  • 05/24/25Russian Premier League1:1
  • 08/11/24Russian Premier League2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Makhachkala940515:1612
8Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
9Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
10Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
11Orenburg91627:109
12Akron Togliatti915311:188
13Rostov922510:178
14Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117
15Rodina Moskva912610:225
16Fakel Voronezh90366:133

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.