Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
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CSKA Moscow — Rodina Moskva, Russian Premier League
Russia, Russian Premier League
CSKA Moscow
2.8WDWDW
Rodina Moskva
1.6DLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
67%22%11%
CSKA Moscow67%Draw22%Rodina Moskva11%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CSKA Moscow1.49—
XDraw4.56—
2Rodina Moskva9.15—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCSKA MoscowRodina MoskvaCombined
Goals scored2.001.003.00
Conceded1.172.333.50
Corners9.59.09.3
Cards2.52.34.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
PFK CSKA Moskva 67%, FK Rodina Moskva 11%. The safest is “PFK CSKA Moskva or draw” at 87%.
PFK CSKA Moskva 67%Draw 22%FK Rodina Moskva 11%
1st half
44 · 36 · 20
2nd half
49 · 33 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
CSKA Moscow
- awayMakhachkala3:1
- homeRubin Kazan1:1
- awayZenit2:1
- awayAkron Togliatti2:2
- homeLokomotiv Moskva3:2
Rodina Moskva
- homeRubin Kazan1:1
- awayKrylia Sovetov1:2
- awayMakhachkala0:2
- homeBaltika Kaliningrad0:3
- awayDinamo Moskva1:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Krasnodar963014:721
Krasnodar963014:7212
Spartak Moscow961216:719
Spartak Moscow961216:7193CSKA Moscow954015:919
CSKA Moscow954015:9194
Dinamo Moskva961214:819
Dinamo Moskva961214:8195
Zenit960319:918
Zenit960319:9186
Rubin Kazan926112:1112
Rubin Kazan926112:11127
Makhachkala940515:1612
Makhachkala940515:16128
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:12119
Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
Krylia Sovetov925213:141110
Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
Akhmat Grozny924313:131011
Orenburg91627:109
Orenburg91627:10912
Akron Togliatti915311:188
Akron Togliatti915311:18813
Rostov922510:178
Rostov922510:17814
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:11715Rodina Moskva912610:225
Rodina Moskva912610:22516
Fakel Voronezh90366:133
Fakel Voronezh90366:133Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.