Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.65
No39%
ours 2.54
All matches
—
Perth Glory — Adelaide United, A-League
Australia, A-League
Perth Glory
1.2WDWDD
Adelaide United
2.1LDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
32%24%45%
Perth Glory32%Draw24%Adelaide United45%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Perth Glory3.16—
XDraw4.22—
2Adelaide United2.24—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPerth GloryAdelaide UnitedCombined
Goals scored1.171.172.34
Conceded0.671.171.84
Corners6.512.09.3
Cards2.51.43.9
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Perth GloryAdelaide United
Perth Glory FC 32%, Adelaide United FC 45%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Perth Glory FC 32%Draw 24%Adelaide United FC 45%
1st half
33 · 37 · 30
2nd half
29 · 33 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Perth Glory
- homeBrisbane Roar2:1
- awaySydney0:0
- homeMacarthur3:1
- awayCentral Coast Mariners2:2
- homeMelbourne City1:1
Adelaide United
- homeAuckland0:3
- awayAuckland1:1
- awayMelbourne City2:1
- homeMacarthur3:1
- awayNewcastle Jets1:1
Head to head
- 02/20/26A-League0:4
- 12/20/25A-League0:1
- 04/12/25A-League4:1
- 11/29/24A-League2:2
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.